Thursday, February 26, 2009

BOND REPORT: Treasurys Trade Down With Auction, Deficit In Focus

By Deborah Levine

Treasurys prices declined Thursday, sending yields higher for a fourth consecutive session, as the government got ready to sell $22 billion in 7-year notes, the last of three record-sized note auctions conducted this week.

Growing government-debt issuance is in sharp focus as President Barack Obama released his first budget amid plans to come to grips with a yawning federal deficit.

Short-term U.S. debt pared their declines, however, as a pair of economic reports indicated an even weaker-than-expected labor market and as well as declining orders for manufactured goods.

Ten-year note yields (UST10Y) rose 5 basis points, or 0.05%, to stand at 2.98% . Yields earlier had topped 3% for the first time since Feb. 9.

Two-year note yields (UST2YR) also increased, up 2 basis points to 1.11%.

Bond prices move inversely to their yields.

Saturday, February 21, 2009

Open Market Analysis forex trading

Rupee continued to recover grounds versus dollar in the kerb as demand American dollar remained low. The American currency kicked off new day’s trading at Rs.79/50, posted more losses and was trading at Rs.79/40 at close of markets on Friday. Thus, rupee ended another day on a positive note versus dollar in the kerb dealings. In the international, the euro headed for the biggest weekly decline in a month against the dollar on speculation European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet will signal in a speech today that he may cut interest rates to spur growth.

The 16-nation currency is set for its seventh weekly decline in eight weeks after ECB council member Erkki Liikanen flagged the possibility of using unorthodox monetary policy to deal with a deepening recession and the financial system’s meltdown. The yen headed for a fourth weekly drop versus the dollar, the longest losing stretch since December 2007, on speculation demand for the currency as a haven will wane.

“The outlook for a narrowing interest-rate differential is negative for the euro,” said Akio Yoshino, chief economist at Societe Generale Asset Management Ltd. in Tokyo. “The euro may fall to below $1.25 in the near future.”

Europe’s currency dropped to $1.2620 as of 11:31 a.m. in Tokyo from $1.2674 late in New York yesterday. It touched $1.2513 on Feb. 18, the lowest level since Nov. 21. The euro weakened to 118.76 yen from 119.37 yesterday, when it reached 120.34 yen, the highest level since Jan. 19. The U.S. currency traded at 94.11 yen, from 94.20 yesterday.